ResearchPublications
Publications

Refereed Articles

  • Dräger, L.; Lamla, M. J. and Pfajfar, D. (2023): How to limit the spillover from an inflation surge to inflation expectations?Journal of Monetary Economics, forthcoming
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.12.004
  • Dräger, L. (2023): Central Bank Communication with the General Publicforthcoming chapter in Routledge Handbook of Economic Expectations in Historical Perspective
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M. J. (2023): Consumers' Macroeconomic ExpectationsJournal of Economic Surveys
    DOI: http://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12590
  • Dräger, L.; Kolaiti, T. and Sibbertsen, P. (2023): Measuring macroeconomic convergence and divergence within EMU using long memoryEmpirical Economics, 65, 2333-2356
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-023-02426-6
  • Bui, D.; Dräger, L.; Hayo, B. and Nghiem, G. (2023): Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefsEuropean Journal of Political Economy, 77, 102295
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2022.102295
  • Bui, D.; Dräger, L.; Hayo, B. and Nghiem, G. (2022): The effects of fiscal policy on households during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and VietnamWorld Development, 153, 105828
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2022.105828
  • Dräger, L. and Nghiem, G. (2021): Are Consumers‘ Spending Decisions in Line With an Euler Equation?The Review of Economics and Statistics, 103(3), 580-596
    DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00909
  • Dräger, L. and Proaño, C. (2020): Cross-Border Banking and Macroprudential Policies in Asymmetric Currency UnionsMacroeconomic Dynamics, 24(2), 255-290
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100518000214
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2017): Imperfect Information and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from MicrodataOxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 79, 933-968
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12189
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2017): Explaining Disagreement on Interest Rates in a Taylor-rule SettingThe Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 119, 987-1009
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12217
  • Dräger, L.; Lamla, M.J. and Pfajfar, D. (2016): Are Survey Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Central Bank Communication and NewsEuropean Economic Review, 85, 84-111
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.01.010
  • Dräger, L. (2016): Recursive Inattentiveness with Heterogeneous ExpectationsMacroeconomic Dynamics, 20, 1073-1100
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100514000741
  • Dräger, L. (2015): Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Sweden - Are Media Reports the "Missing Link"?Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 77(5), 681-700
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12078
  • Dräger, L.; Menz, J.-O. and Fritsche, U. (2014): Perceived Inflation under Loss AversionApplied Economics, 46(3), 282-293
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2013.844328
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2012): Updating Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Micro DataEconomic Letters, 117, 807-810
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.08.033
  • Vogel, L. (2009): The endogeneity of the natural rate of growth - an empirical study for Latin-American countriesInternational Review of Applied Economics, 23(1), 41-53
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02692170802496869
  • Vogel, L. and Hein, E. (2008): Distribution and growth reconsidered: empirical results for six OECD countriesCambridge Journal of Economics, 32(3), 479-511
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bem047

Working Papers

  • Bui, Dzung; Dräger, Lena; Hayo, Bernd; Nghiem, Giang (2024): The Marginal Propensity to Consume and Household Savings During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and VietnamDiskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät - Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) | File |
  • Behringer, J.; Dräger, L.; Dullien, S. and Gechert, S. (2024): News and Views on Public Finances: A Survey ExperimentHannover Economic Papers No. dp-715; CESifo Working Paper No. 10891 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M. J. (2023): Consumers' Macroeconomic ExpectationsHannover Economic Papers No. dp-714; CESifo Working Paper No. 10709 | File |
  • Dräger, L. (2023): Central Bank Communication with the General PublicHannover Economic Papers No. dp-713; CESifo Working Paper No. 10713 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Nghiem, G. (2023): Inflation Literacy, Inflation Expectations, and Trust in the Central Bank: A Survey ExperimentHannover Economic Papers No. dp-709 and CESifo Working Paper No. 10539 | File |
  • Eiblmeier, S. (2023): Differential Effects of Unconventional Monetary PolicyHannover Economic Papers No. dp-707 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Lamla, M.J. and Pfajfar, D. (newest version from October 2023) (2023): How to Limit the Spillover from an Inflation Surge to Inflation Expectations?Hannover Economic Papers No. dp-694; CESifo Working Paper No. 10330 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Lamla, M. J. and Pfajfar, D. (newest version from February 2023) (2023): The Hidden Heterogeneity of Inflation and Interest Rate Expectations: The Role of PreferencesFinance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-054; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Hannover Economic Papers No.dp- 666 and CESifo Working Paper No. 9637 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2022): Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of UkraineCESifo Working Paper No. 9649 | File |
  • Bui, D.; Dräger, L.; Hayo, B. and Nghiem, G. (2022): The Marginal Propensity to Consume During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and VietnamHannover Economic Papers No. dp-695; MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics No. 07-2022 | File |
  • Bui, D.; Dräger, L.; Hayo, B. and Nghiem, G. (2021): Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Other’s BeliefsHannover Economic Papers No. 680; MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics No. 202049 and CESifo Working Paper No. 9010 (2021) | File |
  • Bui, D.; Dräger, L.; Hayo, B. and Nghiem, G. (2021): The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Households during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Emerging EconomiesHannover Economic Papers No. dp-685; MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics No. 20-2021 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Kolaiti, T. and Sibbertsen, P. (2020): Measuring Macroeconomic Convergence And Divergence within EMU Using Long MemoryHannover Economic Papers No. dp-675 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Nguyen, D. B. B.; Prokopczuk, M. and Sibbertsen, P. (2020): The Long Memory of Equity Volatility and the Macroeconomy: International EvidenceHannover Economic Papers No. dp-667 | File |
  • Nghiem, G. and Massenot, B. (2019): Depressed Demand and SupplySAFE Working Paper No. 257 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2018): Is the Anchoring of Consumers´ Inflation Expectations Shaped by Experience?CESifo Working Paper No. 7042 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Nghiem, G. (2018): Are Consumers' Spending Decisions in Line With an Euler Equation?IPP Discussion Paper, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, 1802. Earlier version published under: Dräger, L. (2016): Are Consumers Planning Consumption According to an Euler Equation?, CESifo Working Paper, 6249; IPP Discussion Paper, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, 1621 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 05/2016 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Proaño, C. (2015): Cross-Border Banking and Business Cycles in Asymmetric Currency UnionsDeutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper 21/2015; Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 1/2015 and IMK Working Paper, 2016/161 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Lamla, M.J. and Pfajfar, D. (2015): Are Survey Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Central Bank Communication and NewsFinance and Economics Discussion Series, Federal Reserve Board, 2015-035. Earlier version published under the title "Are Consumer Expectations Theory-Consistent? The Role of Macroeconomic Determinants and Central Bank Communication", KOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 345; CentER Discussion Paper, 2013-063 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 1/2014 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2015): Disagreement à la Taylor: Evidence from Survey MicrodataKOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 380 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 3/2015 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Arnold, E. and Fritsche, U. (2014): Evaluating the Link between Consumers’ Savings Portfolio Decisions, their Inflation Expectations and Economic NewsMacroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 2/2014 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Fritsche, U. (2013): Don’t Worry, Be Right! Survey Wording Effects on Inflation Perceptions and ExpectationsMacroeconomics and Finance Series, Univerity of Hamburg, 8/2013 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2013): Anchoring of Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence from MicrodataKOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 339 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 5/2013 | File |
  • Dräger, L. and Lamla, M.J. (2013): Imperfect Information and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from MicrodataKOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 329 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 1/2013 | File |
  • Dräger, L.; Menz, J. and Fritsche, U. (2011): Perceived Inflation under Loss AversionMacroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 5/2011 | File |
  • Dräger, L. (2011): Endogenous Persistence with Recursive InattentivenessKOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 285 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 3/2011 | File |
  • Dräger, L. (2011): Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Sweden – Are Media Reports the "Missing Link"?KOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 273 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 1/2011 | File |
  • Dräger, L. (2010): Why don’t people pay attention? Endogenous Sticky Information in a DSGE ModelKOF Working Paper, ETH Zurich, 260 and Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 2/2010 | File |
  • Vogel, L.; Menz, J.-O. and Fritsche, U. (2009): Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions – An Empirical AssessmentMacroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 3/2009 | File |
  • Vogel, L. and Menz, J.-O. (2009): A Detailed Derivation of the Sticky Price and Sticky Information New Keynesian DSGE ModelMacroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 2/2009 | File |
  • Vogel, L. (2008): The relationship between the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve and the NAIRU over timeMacroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 3/2008 | File |
  • Vogel, L. (2007): The endogeneity of the natural rate of growth-an empirical study for Latin-American countriesMacroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, 4/2007 | File |
  • Hein, E. and Vogel, L. (2007): Distribution and growth reconsidered - empirical results for Austria, France, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK and the USAIMK Working Paper, 3/2007 | File |

Monographs

  • Dräger, L. (2011): Deviations from Rationality – Essays on Inflation Perceptions and ExpectationsKOF Dissertation Series, ETH Zurich, 10
  • Vogel, L. (2009): The Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the NAIRU over TimeVDM Verlag